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Walk Forward |
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The Walk Forward Suite and corresponding Global Suite System, can be used with any system.
The concept is to use historical data for system optimization and then use the optimal set of parameters, based on a maximum goodness statistic, to then test going forward with an out of sample test. In the following chart, the bottom yellow arrow represents an optimization test from 1998 to 2002. When the system is set to step parameters, the test could be hundreds of stepped tests over this time frame to find the optimal parameters for the system. Then the optimal system parameters are used in an out of sample test for 2002 to 2003. The process begins again with an optimization run from 1999 to 2003, and an out of sample test for 2003 to 2004.
Select the Walk Forward Suite, and then select the system you want to test. Set the important system parameters to step as necessary.
On the Global Parameters page, are the walk forward parameters:
The optimal run from the optimization runs is determined by the maximum goodness value. The goodness statistic is set in preferences, and can be any of the built in statistics, or custom statistics.
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