 The typical trader ... wins more frequently than he loses (over 51% of the time) but is an overall net loser in dollar terms.
 ... the primary motivation for continuous trading is the recreational utility derived largely from having a market position.
 ... our sample does not appear to be especially riskaverse, and is probably not trading solely for profit
Profiles and Motivations of Habitual Commodity Speculators
Profiles and Motivations of Habitual Commodity Speculators
Fun excerpts:
 Attachments

 Habitual_Speculators.pdf
 An Analysis of the Profiles and Motivations of Habitual Commodity Speculators (May 1997)
 (164.06 KiB) Downloaded 454 times
Interesting old article indeed. Confirms a lot of the folklore about the profile of the typical retail trader, i.e. the great majority lose, lots of middle age "professionals" trading part time (like doctors), not using stops, trading for "recreational utility" (or gambling), under capitalized trading accounts, suffering through margin calls. And so on and so forth.
I suspect this profile would apply to nearly no one on this forum.
Thanks for sharing Sluggo!
I suspect this profile would apply to nearly no one on this forum.
Thanks for sharing Sluggo!
Position trading in futures is a very good approximation of a zero sum game:
Similarly the total amount of money won, is simply (the number of winning traders) times (the average amount of money won by a winning trader).
If losing traders outnumber winning traders, then the amount lost by the average losing trader, is indeed smaller than the amount won by the average winning trader. No great surprise.
Winning traders, on average, win more money than losing traders lose, on average. Simple math.
 (Total amount of money lost by losing traders) ~=~ (Total amount of money won by winning traders)
Similarly the total amount of money won, is simply (the number of winning traders) times (the average amount of money won by a winning trader).
If losing traders outnumber winning traders, then the amount lost by the average losing trader, is indeed smaller than the amount won by the average winning trader. No great surprise.
Winning traders, on average, win more money than losing traders lose, on average. Simple math.