VIX futures
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VIX futures
Anyone trading the VIX futures regularly? Any suggestions on the pros and cons of long or short of the VIX futures. I did a little bit shorting in March when the VIX spiked, with good result. Now with the major equity indexes sitting at strong resistance and on the basis that the intermediate term lack breadth (the NASDAQ A/D line failed to break downtrend while NASDAQ composite is make intermediate term highs), I would bet a swift down move next couple of weeks (personal opinion only, more likely to be wrong than not). So I went long a little bit of the VIX May contract the day before. I am sitting on a small loss right now, but because this game is so different from the rest of the futures/commodities universe, in that VIX is certinaly mean-reverting, instead of mean-fleating like the other markets, I am planning not to cut losses, and will stick it out, if this month doesn't work out, I'll roll to the next month, waiting for the inevitable down leg in the stock maket. Your thoughts, insight, and experience?
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- Roundtable Fellow
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- Location: Southern California, USA
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- Roundtable Fellow
- Posts: 97
- Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2008 3:28 pm
- Location: Southern California, USA
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- Roundtable Knight
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Don't see them taking business from the OTC market unless there is a huge counterparty default and people want, demand, or legislate a single clearing party. Even then it will not be a given.
The market is reasonably liquid and deep for the big players and easy to value so no need to change - that does not preclude the VIX futures from being liquid enough for a wide range of traders and small to medium CTAs etc. Just look at the CME FX contracts - they are a very small percentage of the interbank market volume but have more than enough liquidity and low slippage that people & funds can trade them with no issues.
The market is reasonably liquid and deep for the big players and easy to value so no need to change - that does not preclude the VIX futures from being liquid enough for a wide range of traders and small to medium CTAs etc. Just look at the CME FX contracts - they are a very small percentage of the interbank market volume but have more than enough liquidity and low slippage that people & funds can trade them with no issues.
A CBOE rep met with my firm the other week and had some interesting updated information on the VIX futures. Granted August 2011 was an anomolous month with regard to volatility in the stock market, but the average daily volume for the VIX exceeded 79,500 contracts for the month. Apparently VIX ETNs have been responsible for significantly boosting volume in the VIX futures. I think we'll take another look.