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"Active Share" indicator predicts MF performance

Posted: Thu May 09, 2013 10:00 am
by sluggo
An academic paper by Cremers and Petajisto (link) has an intriguing Abstract:
We introduce a new measure of active portfolio management, Active Share, which represents the share of portfolio holdings that differ from the benchmark index holdings. We compute Active Share for domestic equity mutual funds from 1980 to 2003. We relate Active Share to fund characteristics such as size, expenses, and turnover in the cross-section, and we also examine its evolution over time. Active Share predicts fund performance: funds with the highest Active Share significantly outperform their benchmarks, both before and after expenses, and they exhibit strong performance persistence. Non-index funds with the lowest Active Share underperform their benchmarks.
The idea was also discussed earlier this year, in Barrons' magazine (link2)