Search found 1002 matches

by sluggo
Tue Feb 28, 2012 8:43 am
Forum: Money Management
Topic: Avoiding/reducing taxes
Replies: 8
Views: 13144

Americans can investigate IRAs, Rollover IRAs, and Roth IRAs. The benefits of deferred taxation are dramatic, if your CAGR is above, say, 10% per year. Profits compound, untaxed, for years and years and years. Speak to your tax professional.
by sluggo
Mon Feb 27, 2012 11:44 am
Forum: Futures Markets
Topic: Finessing MOO orders
Replies: 5
Views: 4502

I know people who do this and, yes, they feel it reduces their average slippage over the long term . But the histogram (distribution) of slippage_reduction has got some very nasty outlier trades, where waiting to execute turned out to have been exactly the worst thing to do. Wait for a dip before bu...
by sluggo
Thu Feb 23, 2012 4:41 pm
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: Trading bonds and rates in small lots
Replies: 3
Views: 3061

Perhaps you might investigate this: http://ftp.cme.com/rulebook/CME/V/450/452C/452C.pdf

I learned about it by clicking the "Market Specs" icon at the top of CSI Unfair Advantage, then browsing the "Factsheet About Markets" that popped up.

Good luck!
by sluggo
Wed Feb 22, 2012 12:16 pm
Forum: Futures Markets
Topic: Suspicious data
Replies: 51
Views: 50020

As you dig deeper and deeper to learn the truth, maybe your investigations will turn up data such as the random images posted below.

Good luck sorting out your problem!
by sluggo
Fri Feb 17, 2012 9:58 am
Forum: Trend Indicators and Signals
Topic: Bloomberg Trender Indicator
Replies: 7
Views: 12372

Have you looked at her book (link) ?
by sluggo
Thu Feb 16, 2012 9:15 am
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: Sharpe Versus Annual Sharpe
Replies: 7
Views: 4676

The great thing about programmable software is, you can program it. If you want to be sure that statistics S1, S2, S3, ..., S99 are calculated a certain way, and if you want to be sure they continue to be calculated that way, each time Blox is revised, you can. It's straightforward. All you need do ...
by sluggo
Wed Feb 15, 2012 9:28 pm
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: CSI 10 year price data ???
Replies: 1
Views: 1793

An honest answer: Yes. CSI does.
by sluggo
Fri Feb 10, 2012 9:00 am
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: Complimentary system to Trend following
Replies: 20
Views: 12515

Yes. You can find proof of this by looking at the "Correlation to Trend Following Index" of various money managers. Some managers have negative correlation to trend following. They are profitable when trend followers are not, and vice versa. These people know of a system that makes money d...
by sluggo
Mon Feb 06, 2012 6:37 pm
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: Musings on (worthless) Past Performance
Replies: 83
Views: 40576

Re: " your biggest drawdown is always in the future " Here is a fragment from a post on this Forum in 2006; if you're really interested, search for it: The key assumption behind this oft-repeated falsehood is: you will live and trade forever . Let us consider Mr. Warren Buffet of Omaha, Ne...
by sluggo
Fri Feb 03, 2012 10:15 am
Forum: Market Psychology
Topic: Facebook IPO, I just don't "get it"
Replies: 53
Views: 57534

I got a haircut on Wednesday; thanks to a front page story in the newspaper and incredible amounts of general "buzz", the stylist was enthusiastic about buying Facebook stock and asked dozens of questions about where/when/how to open an account and how to buy stock. It called to mind an an...
by sluggo
Thu Feb 02, 2012 8:40 pm
Forum: Market Psychology
Topic: Facebook IPO, I just don't "get it"
Replies: 53
Views: 57534

MarkS wrote: ... you can get enormous granularity ...
I wanted to preserve this little howler lest it disappear via editing or deletion.
by sluggo
Wed Feb 01, 2012 2:49 pm
Forum: Futures Markets
Topic: US Residents Can't Trade Foreign Futures?!!
Replies: 21
Views: 13537

Ask about Milling Wheat at MATIF (Euronext-Paris), or Robusta Coffee at LIFFE, or Brent Crude Oil (London), or Rubber (TOCOM-Tokyo).
by sluggo
Mon Jan 30, 2012 9:05 am
Forum: Futures Markets
Topic: Eurodollar (ED) - limited upside - PART 2
Replies: 8
Views: 5061

I bought actual T-Bills (not the futures) for $1.0001 and they matured 91 days later for $1.0000. Judging by the size of the auction, I was not alone.
by sluggo
Tue Jan 24, 2012 12:25 pm
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: Following your system . . . . with a delay
Replies: 18
Views: 11040

A philosophically similar conundrum is: A fund manager receives new investment dollars, two weeks after a trade has been entered. What should she do? (A) Immediately add to the position, using the same (#contracts_or_#shares per dollar of AUM) that she used two weeks ago at trade entry (B) Do nothin...
by sluggo
Sun Jan 22, 2012 9:53 am
Forum: Futures Markets
Topic: Mexican Govt Notes (Symbol TII)
Replies: 2
Views: 2703

Two good resources to consult are the "Synch UA" button of the Blox Futures Dictionary Editor (discussed in T.B.U.G.), and the website of the exchange where the contract is traded. Wikipedia and Google both point to the exchange website, where I found THE LIST OF CONTRACTS TRADED partially...
by sluggo
Wed Jan 18, 2012 3:11 pm
Forum: Money Management
Topic: Plotting returns on minimum margin
Replies: 2
Views: 5139

There are some older threads here on the Forum, where members attempt to account for the fact that margin requirements change over time. They wanted to accurately backtest on historical data, using the margin requirements that were in force at the time . I think member LeapFrog was one of the leader...
by sluggo
Tue Jan 17, 2012 9:30 am
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: Newbie asks: How to trade futures with only $100K?
Replies: 48
Views: 27443

I hope you're able to invent a daily-operations procedure which you deem to be trustworthy, acceptable, comfortable, and robust in the face of unexpected and unprecedented price shocks. It will probably include order placement order fill checks (actual fills vs. computer expected fills) calculating ...
by sluggo
Thu Dec 22, 2011 10:15 am
Forum: Trader Psychology
Topic: Instrument Choice for Year Ahead
Replies: 5
Views: 8404

That might add several more parameters to the mechanical trading system.
by sluggo
Fri Dec 16, 2011 10:05 am
Forum: Trend Indicators and Signals
Topic: COT report?
Replies: 1
Views: 4341

The text in the upper right hand corner of your image says © finviz.com

Since they created that chart, it seems only natural to suspect they may also provide an explanation of it. I visited their site and found this: