Stepped Parameter Summary Performance
Test Ending Balance CAGR% MAR Modified Sharpe Annual Sharpe Max Total Equity DD Longest Drawdown # Trades
1$137,279,005.0281.5%1.281.180.7163.7%14.01704

  




























Yearly Performance Summary
Year  Days  Closed Balance  End Total Equity  Total Equity Gain  Gain % # Trades
1996366$364,499.73$544,846.55$294,846.55117.9%117
1997365$946,864.51$2,018,487.88$1,473,641.33270.5%155
1998365$4,334,524.87$6,635,500.41$4,617,012.53228.7%152
1999365$3,445,364.75$5,224,736.84$-1,410,763.57-21.3%171
2000366$5,870,008.77$13,573,026.75$8,348,289.92159.8%169
2001365$26,426,977.12$45,565,401.10$31,992,374.34235.7%162
2002365$25,242,284.59$44,577,327.30$-988,073.80-2.2%166
2003365$58,101,233.12$117,074,222.21$72,496,894.91162.6%164
2004366$106,692,544.62$149,778,309.01$32,704,086.8027.9%171
2005365$122,161,423.40$166,566,706.16$16,788,397.1511.2%158
2006207$137,279,005.02$137,279,005.02$-29,287,701.14-17.6%119

Trading Performance
CAGR %81.49%
Maximum Total Equity Drawdown %63.71%
MAR Ratio1.28
Margin to Equity Ratio56.12%
Daily Return %0.3146%
Daily Geometric Return %-0.2285%
Daily Standard Deviation %4.13%
Daily Downside Deviation %2.80%
Daily Sharpe %0.07
Daily Sortino %0.11
Modified Sharpe Ratio1.18
Annual Sharpe Ratio0.71
Annual Sortino Ratio7.75
Monthly Sharpe Ratio0.33
Monthly Sortino Ratio0.81
Calmar Ratio1.66
R-Squared0.952
Longest Total Equity Drawdown (months)14.04
Maximum Monthly Total Equity Drawdown %49.00%
Maximum Closed Equity Drawdown %59.25%
Average Closed Equity Drawdown %15.89%
Round Turns Per Million5,289
Round Turns3,400,854
Total Trades1,704
Start Account Balance$250,000.00
Total Win Dollars$1,143,204,885.20
Total Loss Dollars$1,021,910,706.46
Total Profit$121,294,178.75
Earned Interest$15,734,826.27
Margin Interest$0.00
End Account Balance$137,279,005.02
End Open Equity$0.00
End Total Equity$137,279,005.02
Highest Total Equity$314,820,176.34
Highest Closed Equity$176,430,232.62
Total Commissions$42,510,675.00
Commission per Round Turn$12.50
Total Slippage$39,971,731.00
Slippage per Round Turn$11.75
Total Forex Carry$0.00
Total Other Expenses$0.00

Monte Carlo Confidence Level Statistics
90% Return47.98%
90% Sharpe0.02
90% MAR0.65
90% R Squared0.807
90% Maximum Drawdown79.56%
90% Second Largest Drawdown67.21%
90% Third Largest Drawdown59.32%
90% Longest Drawdown29.1
90% Second Longest Drawdown14.8
90% Third Longest Drawdown10.1

Test Period
First Test Date1996-01-01
Last Test Date2006-07-26

Win/Loss Statistics
Wins65638.5%
Losses104861.5%
Total1704100.0%
Winning Months7659.8%
Losing Months5140.2%
Total127100.0%
Average Risk Percent2.02%
Average Win Percent4.08%
Average Loss Percent1.72%
Average Win Dollars$1,742,690.37
Average Loss Dollars$975,105.64
Average Trade Percent0.51%
Average Trade Dollars$71,182.03
Profit Factor1.12
Percent Profit Factor1.49
Expectation0.25

Equity Management
Test Starting Equity ($)$250,000.00
Leverage (fraction)1.00
Trading Equity BaseTotal Equity
Drawdown Reduction Threshold (%)100.00%
Drawdown Reduction Amount (%)0.00%

Global Simulation Parameters
Earned Interest Rate3.00%
Margin Interest Rate6.00%
Risk Free Rate3.00%
Commission per Trade$0.00
Commission per Share$0.01
Commission per Contract$12.50
Slippage Percent5.00%
Minimum Slippage$0.00
Account for Contract RollsFALSE
Minimum Stock Volume10,000
Minimum Futures Volume1,000
Max Percent Market Per Trade25.00%
Entry Day Retracement0.00%
Max Margin Equity100.00%
Trade on Lock DaysFALSE
Convert Profit by Stock SplitTRUE
Trade Always on TickFALSE
Round Lot Size1.00
Shift Test Start0
Shift Test Duration0

Instrument Performance Summary
Symbol  Wins  %  Losses  %  Trades  Win Months  %  Loss Months  %  Avg. Win %  Avg. Loss %  Avg. Trade %  % Proft Factor
HG2233.8%4366.2%656551.2%6248.8%5.08%1.70%0.60%1.53
US2650.0%2650.0%527962.2%4837.8%3.11%1.41%0.85%2.21
S2031.7%4368.3%636954.3%5845.7%4.18%1.70%0.17%1.14
HU2438.7%3861.3%627155.9%5644.1%3.65%1.39%0.56%1.66
CD2031.7%4368.3%636752.8%6047.2%5.27%1.88%0.39%1.30
W3046.2%3553.8%657055.1%5744.9%2.15%1.61%0.13%1.15
KC2333.3%4666.7%697055.1%5744.9%3.06%1.42%0.07%1.08
GC3046.9%3453.1%647055.1%5744.9%3.77%1.62%0.90%2.05
CL3154.4%2645.6%577861.4%4938.6%2.90%1.60%0.85%2.16
EC2548.1%2751.9%527559.1%5240.9%4.47%1.77%1.23%2.34
TY2554.3%2145.7%468063.0%4737.0%4.19%1.44%1.62%3.46
JY2441.4%3458.6%587256.7%5543.3%4.64%1.75%0.90%1.88
AD1730.4%3969.6%567055.1%5744.9%6.61%1.86%0.71%1.55
MP2551.0%2449.0%498466.1%4333.9%4.26%1.89%1.25%2.35
NG2341.1%3358.9%567357.5%5442.5%3.41%1.56%0.48%1.52
SB2136.8%3663.2%577055.1%5744.9%3.66%1.70%0.27%1.25
LC1930.6%4369.4%626954.3%5845.7%3.51%1.78%-0.16%0.87
FC1730.4%3969.6%567559.1%5240.9%4.79%1.81%0.19%1.15
HO2639.4%4060.6%666752.8%6047.2%3.25%1.66%0.27%1.27
ED2843.8%3656.3%647357.5%5442.5%5.78%1.85%1.49%2.44
CC2028.6%5071.4%705946.5%6853.5%3.45%1.67%-0.21%0.83
SF2644.1%3355.9%597155.9%5644.1%4.18%2.06%0.69%1.60
C2130.9%4769.1%687458.3%5341.7%4.16%1.95%-0.06%0.95
CT2435.8%4364.2%676752.8%6047.2%3.26%1.52%0.19%1.20
SI2333.3%4666.7%696248.8%6551.2%2.79%1.62%-0.15%0.86
LH2238.6%3561.4%577155.9%5644.1%4.28%1.48%0.74%1.82
EM2234.9%4165.1%637357.5%5442.5%7.92%2.45%1.17%1.73
BP2231.9%4768.1%696349.6%6450.4%4.37%1.76%0.20%1.16
System Parameter Settings
Donchian Parameters
Allocation Percent100.00%
Risk Per Trade (%)1.90%
Entry Breakout (days)22
Entry Offset (ATR)-0.40
Stop (ATR)1.80
Exit Breakout (days)14
Exit Offset (ATR)0.00
ATR (days)39
PortfolioFutures:All Liquid
MACD Long Average (days)300
MACD Short Average (days)75