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Positive Autocorrelation and Trend Trading Success

Posted: Wed May 01, 2013 11:51 am
by AFJ Garner
In his interesting article “The Main Cause of Failure of Some Popular Technical Trading Methodsâ€

Posted: Mon May 06, 2013 5:37 am
by AFJ Garner
Even in a strong Bull or Bear market, it seems a bit unlikely to me that the daily closing prices of a particular index or instrument would “closeâ€

Posted: Mon May 06, 2013 3:22 pm
by maler
Anthony, if you lag the 3 day return series by one day only,
you expect to get a high positive autocorrelation because of the common 2 days in each pair.
Would be interesting to see the 3 day return autocorrelation for a 3 day lag.

Posted: Mon May 06, 2013 3:58 pm
by AFJ Garner
Yes...realised I had missed something obvious. I'll plot the other.