Search found 34 matches
- Sat Apr 10, 2010 7:24 pm
- Forum: Brokers
- Topic: Brokerage outside of the US
- Replies: 6
- Views: 7871
The problem we American's have is the same as any great empire throughout history. We confuse good fortune (positive personal/sovereign outcomes) with a natural mandate (whether it be religious, ethnic, cultural, or other apparent superiority) and decide we are infallible because of it. Momentum car...
- Fri Apr 09, 2010 7:03 pm
- Forum: Testing and Simulation
- Topic: New goodness function
- Replies: 14
- Views: 7973
- Fri Apr 09, 2010 6:39 pm
- Forum: Brokers
- Topic: Brokerage outside of the US
- Replies: 6
- Views: 7871
I would indeed have to think our friends in the U.K. are in similar (if not more dire) straits. However you have one advantage in that you can still get your liquid assets out of your home country/currency without preventing you from trading U.S markets / dealing on exchanges. I'm less concerned abo...
- Thu Apr 08, 2010 5:58 pm
- Forum: Brokers
- Topic: Brokerage outside of the US
- Replies: 6
- Views: 7871
Brokerage outside of the US
So as the famous saying goes "Just because I'm paranoid, doesn't mean they aren't out to get me". I don't mean to start some crazy conspiracy theory thread, what I'm curious about is if any U.S. Citizens are (legally) trading from a broker in say, HK or Singapore, with funds in HKD or SGD ...
- Wed Mar 24, 2010 1:07 am
- Forum: Testing and Simulation
- Topic: Number of Parameters
- Replies: 16
- Views: 9308
- Tue Mar 23, 2010 2:10 pm
- Forum: Testing and Simulation
- Topic: Number of Parameters
- Replies: 16
- Views: 9308
I would suggest less is more. My personal opinion is simple trumps complex over the long run. This may be because I am somewhat lazy/crazy and I don't like a lot of knobs to turn/have become a bit if a tuning skeptic. Think about it though, adding these bell's and whistles in your Turtle example ove...
- Sun Feb 21, 2010 8:35 pm
- Forum: Testing and Simulation
- Topic: System Longevity
- Replies: 22
- Views: 13625
- Wed Feb 10, 2010 1:58 pm
- Forum: Trader Psychology
- Topic: The more I use Trading Blox the less I want to trade!
- Replies: 11
- Views: 16335
You may want to consider a few things here. 1. Your approach could be simpler. I consider a 3 EMA system to be overly complex. I'm not saying you need a 1 parameter system (although they are my favorite!), but there should be some diversity in your multi-parameter systems. I think you will find that...
- Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:22 pm
- Forum: Testing and Simulation
- Topic: System Longevity
- Replies: 22
- Views: 13625
AFJ you raise a very valid point. Without fee disclosure on IASG it gives a new twist to our problem. 2/20 fee's over a 20 year period can be an enormous burden on CAGR/Total return. Let alone some others have an even higher fee structure! Some others have 2/20 but have a watermark. It certainly can...
- Tue Feb 02, 2010 12:26 am
- Forum: Testing and Simulation
- Topic: System Longevity
- Replies: 22
- Views: 13625
- Mon Feb 01, 2010 8:33 pm
- Forum: Testing and Simulation
- Topic: System Longevity
- Replies: 22
- Views: 13625
Subsequently I wonder as a student of history (and IASG): Why do the long term (still in business) operations that we have performance data on seem to have MAR's and Sharpe's below 1? Surely these people have significant resources to out-do the Robusti's? Could it be they had gangbuster early perfor...
- Mon Feb 01, 2010 7:53 pm
- Forum: Testing and Simulation
- Topic: System Longevity
- Replies: 22
- Views: 13625
If your system(s) is simple enough, there are only two things to change. 1. Portfolio of instruments (add/reduce in a mechanical fashion based on ability to trade [regulation, broker availability,etc] and liquidity). 2. Very limited parameter sets (in my example of a single system, 1 parameter, ther...
- Mon Feb 01, 2010 7:05 pm
- Forum: Testing and Simulation
- Topic: System Longevity
- Replies: 22
- Views: 13625
System Longevity
Let me first get this out of the way: Oh no another parameter/robustness thread! That said. I've been thinking about longevity in this business of ours (financial speculation). This message may be a bit of a rant but I hope to inspire some of our resident Maestro's to impart a few bits of wisdom 8) ...
- Thu Mar 22, 2007 8:33 pm
- Forum: Testing and Simulation
- Topic: Your advice: what's a reasonable way to test RANDOM EXITS?
- Replies: 13
- Views: 14126
Excellent work sluggo, very interesting results. I am experimenting with some volatility concepts myself with the same sort of focus on exit efficiency. If you get bored try plotting an indicator with: (20 bar high - 20 bar low) / (50 bar high - 50 bar low) Notice what happens on a variety of timefr...