Search found 129 matches

by Chelonia
Wed Sep 29, 2010 5:04 am
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: Measuring your correlation to professional futures traders
Replies: 56
Views: 36543

No wonder they can´t attract any institutional funds with a -41% drawdown. If they would take 0.25% of their current leverage instead they might have a chance. Deleveraging could also open up less liquid markets for more diversification.
by Chelonia
Mon Sep 27, 2010 3:49 am
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: Measuring your correlation to professional futures traders
Replies: 56
Views: 36543

What do we really know about the underlying managers in any (benchmark) systematic trend following index. Did they always lived to the system, or was there a directional overlay at times. How much alpha do we need to account for if any? The only way of finding out is to compare system output with br...
by Chelonia
Sat Sep 25, 2010 6:33 am
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: Measuring your correlation to professional futures traders
Replies: 56
Views: 36543

Great idea Sluggo. Why don´t we all put down our Correlation number between the system you (currently) use and the BSTI. Our´s is 0.58, which is in line with most other (large) CTA´s. The mean runs around 0.60 Running this number down is possible but in most cases the correlation between the prog...
by Chelonia
Sun Apr 25, 2010 11:24 am
Forum: Futures Markets
Topic: How does Gov. control the interest rate?
Replies: 1
Views: 2363

First of all, "government" does not control the interest. And how is it controlled? As debt multiplies in proportion to capacity to pay, the central banking systems *must* reduce interest rates (otherwise maintaining them as high as can be tolerated), [hopefully] enough that industry can c...
by Chelonia
Wed Apr 21, 2010 10:44 am
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: MOC order in E futures. Backtesting vs reality...
Replies: 13
Views: 6655

The time with the highest volume and therefore the narrowest bid/ask spread, and less slippage. We avoid night sessions for less liquid stuff, and typically trade around the old open outcry floor hours. Stop width allows that. On top of that we scale in and out on large MOC and MOO orders. Instead o...
by Chelonia
Wed Apr 21, 2010 8:17 am
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: MOC order in E futures. Backtesting vs reality...
Replies: 13
Views: 6655

Automate your TB system execution and backtest for best execution time per market for MOC and MOO orders. It´s an eye opener and well worth the exercise.
by Chelonia
Fri Jan 22, 2010 10:00 am
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: Global Exchange Traded Funds (ETF´s), End of Day data vendor
Replies: 6
Views: 4925

it certainly doesn't answer the question; it pretends to return to a fundament; but really falls short of getting one to us.
by Chelonia
Thu Jan 21, 2010 12:28 pm
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: Global Exchange Traded Funds (ETF´s), End of Day data vendor
Replies: 6
Views: 4925

Geert can try to stuff all the numbers he wants in his numerator; the banking systems can still move them to the denominator; and piss Geert off.
In the end, Geert sees the light, and snuffs the power of the money changers.
by Chelonia
Thu Jan 21, 2010 9:19 am
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: Global Exchange Traded Funds (ETF´s), End of Day data vendor
Replies: 6
Views: 4925

What would you suggest for diversifying into more liquid markets when liquidity and exchange maximums come into play for most commodities.


Ordered the book. Thanks Sluggo
by Chelonia
Thu Jan 21, 2010 3:21 am
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: Global Exchange Traded Funds (ETF´s), End of Day data vendor
Replies: 6
Views: 4925

Global Exchange Traded Funds (ETF´s), End of Day data vendor

Hi All,

Does anyone has expereince trend following ETF´s. Which datavendor is offering EoD Global ETF data.

Thanks
C
by Chelonia
Fri Nov 20, 2009 4:55 am
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: CTA performance excell formulas for 13 column table
Replies: 8
Views: 7988

Correct, the Net liquidating value, which is the total value of the portfolio including the p/l from open positions, but excluding exit commissions and or other performance and-or management fees.
But in general for a private trader the net liq value is the number to use.

Best regards,
by Chelonia
Thu Nov 19, 2009 2:30 pm
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: CTA performance excell formulas for 13 column table
Replies: 8
Views: 7988

I use the Net Liquidating Value from the monthly broker statements. This is the net (after fees and commissions) combined value of your equity including proft and loss from open positions at that moment in time.
I don´t know what products you trade. I only trade futures.

Hope this helps.
by Chelonia
Sun Sep 27, 2009 6:59 am
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: CTA performance excell formulas for 13 column table
Replies: 8
Views: 7988

Grazie mille di cuore!!
by Chelonia
Sun Sep 27, 2009 4:20 am
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: CTA performance excell formulas for 13 column table
Replies: 8
Views: 7988

Why do they make adding smilies so easy?!

I tryed to attach my Excell input file but it won´t let me do it.
by Chelonia
Sun Sep 27, 2009 4:14 am
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: CTA performance excell formulas for 13 column table
Replies: 8
Views: 7988

CTA performance excell formulas for 13 column table

If you have ever seen a trading advisor's or fund's disclosure document, you have seen the standard 13-column table showing CTA performance. The last two columns, 12 and 13, contain monthly rates of return as a percentage and the $1,000 Value Added Monthly Index (VAMI). The spreadsheet uses monthly ...
by Chelonia
Sat Jul 25, 2009 3:18 pm
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: The short side and trend following
Replies: 41
Views: 29749

If you want to trade a turtle type system with a portfolio long only including currencies then include the US$ Index futures. Long US$ Index = short basket of currencies (euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona and Swiss franc). Strength/weakness of most commodities is high...
by Chelonia
Thu Jul 03, 2008 1:11 pm
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: Most liquid futures contracts
Replies: 5
Views: 9503

Thanks for your information. Over the last year liquidity in many futures markets became a real issue with floors closing down. Where are the days you could just run a 100 lot stop order in cocoa with discretion through the floor guys?! Over the last 6 months we had to take many contracts out of the...
by Chelonia
Wed Jun 25, 2008 12:39 pm
Forum: Testing and Simulation
Topic: Most liquid futures contracts
Replies: 5
Views: 9503

Most liquid futures contracts

Hi,

Does anyone know where to find information on what the most liquid futures contracts are (globally).

Many thanks
by Chelonia
Sat Feb 23, 2008 2:30 am
Forum: Trend Indicators and Signals
Topic: Jim Simons
Replies: 15
Views: 44836

Leading indicators can be used for all markets. For example; when a commodity index breaks out to the upside you put your long/neutral commodity system to work, when it breaks out to the downside you put your short/neutral commodity system to work, when a stock index breaks out to the upside you put...
by Chelonia
Tue Nov 06, 2007 8:01 am
Forum: Futures Markets
Topic: Who else got filled in that ELECTRONIC Soybean move....
Replies: 8
Views: 8229

Then the exchange shouldn't offer e-bean oil or any other commodity to the public when the volume doesn't allow fair trade especially when it trades side by side with the floor. I thought the US was the country where the public is highly protected from this sort if mis management by reckless compani...