Total Risk Profile Graph

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Total Risk examines the relationship between Total Equity and Closed Equity to Open Risk (respectively). The Total Risk Profile graph displays Total Equity Risk and Closed Trade Risk plotted over time.

 

RiskGraph

 

The following definitions will help illustrate the difference between Total Equity and Closed Equity risk.

 

Closed Equity

Starting Balance plus the cumulative profit (or loss) from all closed-out trades. (Sometimes referred to as Closed Trade Equity.)

 

Open Equity

Total profit (or loss) of all open positions

 

Total Equity

Closed Equity + Open Equity

 

Open Risk

The (currency) distance from the current price to the closest stop, for all open positions. It is based on the assumption that all open positions will be exited at their current designated stops (though some or all of these positions may prove profitable in the future).

 

Closed Risk

The (currency) distance from the entry price to the closest stop (either entry or trailing), for all open positions. If the trailing stop is profitable then the closed risk on a position is zero.

 

Locked-In Profits

Open Equity - Open Risk.  (The profit on a trade in progress becomes "locked-in" when the trailing stop moves favorably past the entry price.)

 

Total Equity Risk

Open Risk / Total Equity

 

Closed Equity Risk

Closed Risk / Closed Equity

 

 

Please consider the following example of Total Equity Risk:

 

Total Equity

$150,000

Closed Equity

$100,000

Open Equity

$50,000

Open Risk

$40,000

Locked-in Profits

$10,000

Closed Risk

$0

Total Equity Risk

Open Risk / Total Equity = $40,000 / $150,000 = 26.67%

 

Closed Equity Risk, while similar to Total Equity Risk, is impacted only by locked-in losses. (Thus, it is 0% in the example above.) The plot of Closed Equity Risk will only assume a positive value when Closed Risk is positive. Closed Risk is positive when the Locked-In Profits are less than zero. If there are Locked-In Profits then the Closed Risk is zero and the Closed Equity Risk is zero.

 

Now consider how Closed Equity Risk differs:

 

Total Equity

$150,000

Closed Equity

$100,000

Open Equity

$50,000

Open Risk

$60,000

Locked-in Profits

-$10,000

Closed Risk

$10,000

Closed Equity Risk

Closed Risk / Closed Equity = $10,000 / $100,000 = 10.00%